Feathers of loyal Republicans and Democrats have been ruffled when the media predicted that the future president of the United States would be selected by the independent voter.
Analysts from both parties have put in efforts to disprove this theory and even went to the extent of eliminating independent voters’ existence by trying to prove that these individuals are weak Republicans or Democrats. These reactions to a single claim are bound to make you wonder just how strong this segment of voters is.
A Look at the Independent Voter Segment
One of the reasons their opponents scorn them is the fact that the number of independent voters has always been low. Since the 1950s up to the late 1990s, the percentage of the independent voter segment ranged between 22 and 37 percent.
However, according to a new Gallup poll conducted in 2011, the number of independent voters has increased to 40 percent. This is a new record since the 39 percent recorded in 1995 and 2007.
According to Gallup, the reasons the independent identification grew a year before the next presidential election are the slow economy, voters’ distrust in the government and unfavorable views of both parties.
Political analysts assert presidential candidates shouldn’t put much of their hopes on these voters because they supposedly miss the elections or tend to lean towards one of the main two political parties.
The Strength of Independent Voters
The “fact” that the independent voter doesn’t actually exist may very well be a myth. To prove this, advocates of this voters sector claim that independent voters were the main reason behind Barack Obama’s presidency in 2008. They, along with minorities and the youth, were able to give America its first African-American president.
If the aforementioned example wasn’t proof enough of the sector’s strength, consider this point: if candidates knew that there are voters who aren’t loyal to their party or their opponents’, wouldn’t they put in extra efforts to win over the public?
Because independents choose based on the candidate’s experience, qualifications and dedication to the country, potential presidents will be on their toes and will do their best to make sure of winning their votes.
What Candidates Think
While both camps fight as to whether the independent voter exists or not, presidential candidates are putting a lot of effort to woo independents and secure their votes. Take for example Mitt Romney; the Republican front-runner made sure to focus on independent voters before the first primary in New Hampshire.
New Hampshire, a state with a considerable percentage on independents, proved to be a milestone in Romney’s campaign. The candidate left the state after winning 39 percent of its votes. According to Fox News, 44 percent voters were independents and of this percentage, 30 percent gave their votes to Romney while the rest supported Ron Paul (29 percent) and Jon Huntsman (27 percent).
As you can see, the public and political analysts continue to fight over their strength, but independents will always be one of the major voter groups that presidential candidates will focus on to secure their presidency.


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